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Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 63

Published Date and Time: 2026-01-25 16:00:00



Mesoscale Discussion 63
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   Mesoscale Discussion 0063
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0255 PM CST Sun Jan 25 2026

   Areas affected...central/eastern FL Panhandle and southern GA

   Concerning...Tornado Watch 4...

   Valid 252055Z - 252230Z

   The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 4 continues.

   SUMMARY...Lingering damaging wind and brief tornado threat should
   linger into early evening as a QLCS mainly moves across southern
   Georgia. A downstream tornado watch issuance appears unlikely.

   DISCUSSION...After at least a few TDSs and measured wind gusts in
   the past couple hours, overall convective intensity may have peaked
   with the QLCS. It continues to move faster along the northern end,
   becoming elevated into central GA after progressing across the
   surface warm front. Mid 60s surface dew points, supportive of weak
   but adequate buoyancy for a brief tornado, have reached about 3
   tiers of counties into southwest/south-central GA north of the FL
   border. Early afternoon guidance is insistent that convection should
   diminish in a couple hours as it overturns the remaining corridor of
   mid 70s surface temperatures across far southwest GA. The
   slower-moving portion of the line in the FL Panhandle should
   likewise wane after sunset, especially as low-level wind fields
   begin to subside ahead of the front at this latitude.

   ..Grams.. 01/25/2026

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...JAX...FFC...TAE...

   LAT...LON   31768402 32088363 31828292 31318260 30858267 30668298
               30378446 30028523 30088574 30538555 31128491 31768402 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-115 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH


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