Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 2174

   Mesoscale Discussion 2174
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0933 PM CDT Fri Oct 24 2025

   Areas affected...Portions of North/Central Texas

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 629...

   Valid 250233Z - 250430Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 629
   continues.

   SUMMARY...A mesovortex circulation will be the focus for additional
   severe gusts and perhaps a brief tornado. Severe potential is
   greatest where temperatures remain in the mid 70s F.

   DISCUSSION...The line segment that has passed through parts of the
   DFW metro produced at least one severe gusts in Fort Worth in
   association with a mesovortex circulation. Where temperatures are in
   the mid 70s F (such as the current DAL observation) severe
   potential--including the risk for additional severe gusts and a
   brief tornado--will be greatest. Farther east, both temperatures and
   dewpoints are not nearly as supportive and a steady decline in
   intensity is expected east of the DFW metro.

   ..Wendt.. 10/25/2025

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...FWD...

   LAT...LON   32129758 32839745 33069734 33179679 33199667 33039631
               32079643 31699674 31729724 32129758 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-115 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH