|
|
| Mesoscale Discussion 2205 | |
| < Previous MD Next MD > | |
|
|
Mesoscale Discussion 2205
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0114 PM CST Mon Nov 04 2024
Areas affected...northeast Oklahoma...southeast Kansas...Southwest
Missouri and far northern Arkansas.
Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely
Valid 041914Z - 042045Z
Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent
SUMMARY...The severe weather threat is increasing rapidly across
southeast Kansas, southwest Missouri, and far northwest Arkansas.
DISCUSSION...Surface analysis shows a warm front advancing northeast
across eastern Oklahoma to near the Oklahoma/Kansas border and far
southern Missouri. A line embedded supercell with a confirmed
tornado is moving through northeast Oklahoma and should persist
northeast through the afternoon/evening. The area where the line of
storms interacts with the warm front will likely continue to be a
favorable location for tornado development. In addition, any mature
supercells which develop ahead of the line could also pose a tornado
threat given the favorable low-level shear profile which is expected
to improve through the evening.
..Bentley/Hart.. 11/04/2024
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...LZK...SGF...EAX...TSA...ICT...
LAT...LON 36989600 37689533 38109487 38159334 37539289 36609296
35999325 35839435 35829471 36989600
|
|
|
Top/All Mesoscale Discussions/Forecast Products/Home |
|