US Mesoscale Discussions

Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 2203

Published Date and Time: 2024-11-04 13:14:07












Mesoscale Discussion 2203
< Previous MD
MD 2203 graphic

   Mesoscale Discussion 2203
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1212 PM CST Mon Nov 04 2024

   Areas affected...eastern Oklahoma and north-central Texas

   Concerning...Tornado Watch 704...

   Valid 041812Z - 041915Z

   The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 704 continues.

   SUMMARY...The severe weather threat is increasing across
   north-central Texas and eastern Oklahoma.

   DISCUSSION...A line of storms has developed east of I-35 in central
   Oklahoma and is slowly drifting east. These storms are showing some
   sign of severe intensity and occasional rotation, but they are
   struggling to move ahead of the boundary. However, visible satellite
   is showing signs of some development ahead of the boundary across
   north Texas and eastern Oklahoma. This development will likely pose
   a greater severe weather threat with supercells capable of large
   hail, severe wind and several tornadoes (some which may be strong)
   through the afternoon hours. 

   Currently, flow is southerly or south-southwesterly across the warm
   sector, but is expected to back to 160-170 by later this afternoon
   with the deepening cyclone and a strengthening low-level jet.
   Therefore, the greatest tornado threat will be with any discrete
   supercells after 21Z across eastern Oklahoma and north Texas.

   ..Bentley/Hart.. 11/04/2024

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...SGF...SHV...TSA...FWD...OUN...

   LAT...LON   32139854 34659721 35369692 36379685 36969624 36999428
               36409421 34239461 32729554 31999655 31979794 32139854 


Top/All Mesoscale Discussions/Forecast Products/Home













Source link

Leave a Reply