Mesoscale Discussion 2184 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0633 PM CDT Sat Nov 02 2024 Areas affected...Southeast New Mexico into the southern Permian Basin Concerning...Tornado Watch 698... Valid 022333Z - 030030Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 698 continues. SUMMARY...The severe risk remains confined to a small area in the northern portion of Tornado Watch 698. DISCUSSION...The threat of a brief tornado, large hail, and locally severe gusts generally remains confined to Lea, Andrews, and Gaines Counties within Tornado Watch 698. Here, backed surface winds (along the composite outflow boundary) beneath veering/strengthening winds with height are contributing to ample clockwise hodograph curvature (per nearby VWP data and mesoanalysis). This enhanced helicity and focused mesoscale ascent is favoring the maintenance of a discrete surface-based supercell capable of producing additional brief tornadoes, large hail, and locally damaging gusts. A couple semi-discrete cells to the north of the outflow boundary will also pose a localized severe risk, mainly in the form of marginally severe hail. ..Weinman.. 11/02/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...LUB...MAF... LAT...LON 32530224 32320248 32270346 32630353 33130319 33110276 32860225 32530224
Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 2184
02
Nov