Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 2180

   Mesoscale Discussion 2180
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0851 AM CDT Sat Nov 02 2024

   Areas affected...portions of far western Texas

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

   Valid 021351Z - 021515Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent

   SUMMARY...A severe gust or brief QLCS tornado cannot be completely
   ruled out over the next couple of hours. The severe threat should be
   sparse in the near term, and a WW issuance is not expected.

   DISCUSSION...A bowing segment, embedded within a broader-scale MCS,
   continues to propagate eastward within a moist, marginally unstable
   airmass. Regional VADs depict relatively small, curved hodographs,
   indicative of a marginal shear environment. However, the bowing
   segment is traversing a convectively induced baroclinic boundary,
   which may locally augment the potential for a severe gust or brief
   QLCS tornado. Nonetheless, the severe threat should be sparse at
   best, and a WW issuance is not anticipated.

   ..Squitieri/Smith.. 11/02/2024

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...LUB...

   LAT...LON   34030248 34240178 34320086 34060047 33680078 33590146
               33570210 33620247 34030248