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Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 2113

Published Date and Time: 2024-09-26 12:22:06












Mesoscale Discussion 2113
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   Mesoscale Discussion 2113
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1120 AM CDT Thu Sep 26 2024

   Areas affected...central portions of the Florida Panhandle

   Concerning...Tornado Watch 685...

   Valid 261620Z - 261815Z

   The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 685 continues.

   SUMMARY...Local risk for brief tornadoes will continue -- with
   greatest short-term potential over central portions of the Florida
   Panhandle.

   DISCUSSION...Latest surface analysis reveals a nearly stationary
   north-south trough -- acting as a pseudo warm front and, as such,
   source of enhanced low-level vorticity -- extending from the
   Franklin/Gulf County vicinity on the Florida Coast, northward across
   far western Georgia and into the southern Appalachians.  This
   boundary reflects the discontinuity between the moist/tropical
   airmass to the east, and the continental airmass to the west. 
   Several/continued brief low-level spin-ups have been observed over
   the past couple of hours within this zone, and expect this local
   enhancement of tornado potential to continue over the next couple of
   hours, given increasingly favorably low-level flow and the nearly
   stationary character of this north-south boundary.

   ..Goss.. 09/26/2024

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...TAE...

   LAT...LON   29938539 30858521 30558448 29118399 28878488 29298555
               29938539 


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