US Mesoscale Discussions

Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 2089

Published Date and Time: 2024-09-19 20:44:05












Mesoscale Discussion 2089
< Previous MD
MD 2089 graphic

   Mesoscale Discussion 2089
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0741 PM CDT Thu Sep 19 2024

   Areas affected...forsoutheastern Minesotta...western Wisconsin

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 677...

   Valid 200041Z - 200245Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 677
   continues.

   SUMMARY...Severe threat continues within WW677.

   DISCUSSION...Storms continue along a northward lifting warm front
   and cold front moving across portions of eastern MN into western WI.
   Recent storm reports from storms along the warm front have produced
   instances of hail up to 1.25 in. Recent 00z RAOB from MPX shows a
   warm layer aloft with MLCAPE around 1900 J/kg and deep layer shear
   around 30 kts. Hodographs are primarily linear with generally
   uniformly westerly winds aloft. This will continue to support mixed
   mode of multi-cell clusters and occasional supercells capable of
   large hail. The highest threat for large hail will remain along and
   north of the warm front in the near term. Further severe development
   will continue along and ahead of the cold front as well, with
   potential for hail and instances of strong to severe wind.

   ..Thornton.. 09/20/2024

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...ARX...MPX...

   LAT...LON   44119332 45409268 45469098 45219069 44589080 43999153
               43759191 43609313 43609316 44119332 


Top/All Mesoscale Discussions/Forecast Products/Home













Source link