000
FONT13 KNHC 160239
PWSAT3
POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE EIGHT WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082024
0300 UTC MON SEP 16 2024
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE EIGHT WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 32.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 77.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
DANVILLE VA 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
OCEANA NAS VA 34 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
GREENSBORO NC 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
RALEIGH NC 34 1 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
ROCKY MT NC 34 1 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
CAPE HATTERAS 34 7 3(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
FAYETTEVILLE 34 13 13(26) 2(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) X(28)
CHARLOTTE NC 34 X 3( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
CHERRY PT NC 34 14 2(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16)
NEW RIVER NC 34 22 4(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) X(26)
MOREHEAD CITY 34 26 4(30) X(30) X(30) 1(31) X(31) X(31)
SURF CITY NC 34 50 7(57) X(57) X(57) X(57) X(57) X(57)
WILMINGTON NC 34 60 7(67) X(67) X(67) 1(68) X(68) X(68)
BALD HEAD ISL 34 85 4(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) X(89)
BALD HEAD ISL 50 2 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
FLORENCE SC 34 23 23(46) 2(48) 1(49) X(49) X(49) X(49)
COLUMBIA SC 34 1 5( 6) 1( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
LITTLE RIVER 34 80 8(88) 1(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) X(89)
LITTLE RIVER 50 3 5( 8) X( 8) X( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
MYRTLE BEACH 34 82 8(90) X(90) X(90) 1(91) X(91) X(91)
MYRTLE BEACH 50 4 7(11) X(11) X(11) 1(12) X(12) X(12)
GEORGETOWN SC 34 70 11(81) X(81) X(81) 1(82) X(82) X(82)
CHARLESTON SC 34 33 7(40) X(40) X(40) 1(41) X(41) X(41)
BEAUFORT MCAS 34 9 4(13) 1(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14)
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
Potential Tropical Cyclone Eight Wind Speed Probabilities
15
Sep