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| Mesoscale Discussion 1979 | |
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Mesoscale Discussion 1979
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0353 PM CDT Fri Aug 23 2024
Areas affected...Portions of southern/eastern Utah into far western
Colorado
Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely
Valid 232053Z - 232300Z
Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent
SUMMARY...Scattered storms, some capable of severe winds and large
hail, will occur this afternoon. A watch is not currently
anticipated.
DISCUSSION...Early cloud cover within the Colorado Plateau has kept
temperatures in the mid/upper 70s F thus far. Even so, colder air
aloft has promoted around 1000 J/kg MLCAPE in southeastern Utah.
Convection has shown signs of deepening on MRMS CAPPI imagery. Some
further intensification of this activity is possible as temperatures
will still rise this afternoon. Moderate mid-level flow on the
eastern flank of the upper low will foster 45-50 kts of effective
shear and at least marginal supercell structures. Storms will be
capable of severe wind gusts and possibly large hail.
..Wendt/Guyer.. 08/23/2024
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...GJT...FGZ...SLC...
LAT...LON 37461224 38391155 39331063 39590951 39220889 38200878
37400900 36991014 36741130 36771203 36981233 37461224
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