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| Mesoscale Discussion 1870 | |
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Mesoscale Discussion 1870 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0738 PM CDT Thu Aug 08 2024 Areas affected...Middle Atlantic Concerning...Tornado Watch 615... Valid 090038Z - 090245Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 615 continues. SUMMARY...Tornado risk continues with supercells this evening. DISCUSSION...Remnants of Debby have moved well inland and the center of circulation is now located over western NC, east of CLT. LLJ is strengthening across the middle Atlantic with latest model guidance suggesting this will continue through sunrise as LLJ translates into northern VA/MD/southern PA. Latest VAD data supports this with 0-3km SRH now in excess of 300 m2/s2 at LWX. Numerous small supercells are embedded within a larger precip shield, supported by moist low-level warm advection. Radar data suggests several of the more robust circulations have possibly produced tornadoes at times. While strong shear persists across portions of the Carolinas, with time the primary focus for organized supercells will begin to shift north across VA into MD. ..Darrow.. 08/09/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...PHI...AKQ...MHX...LWX...RAH...RNK... LAT...LON 35447858 39567876 39567614 35437609 35447858 |
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