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Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 1566

Published Date and Time: 2024-07-09 18:44:05












Mesoscale Discussion 1566
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   Mesoscale Discussion 1566
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0542 PM CDT Tue Jul 09 2024

   Areas affected...northern Kentucky...southern Indiana...far
   southwestern Ohio

   Concerning...Tornado Watch 516...

   Valid 092242Z - 100015Z

   The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 516 continues.

   SUMMARY...Tornado threat continues within WW516.

   DISCUSSION...Supercells have been ongoing along and near the warm
   front extending across northern Kentucky into southern Indiana. One
   ongoing supercell north of Evansville, IN near Johnson, IN has
   produced multiple tornadoes across northern Kentucky into southern
   Indiana. A more narrow favorable corridor of tornado threat should
   be maintained in the next few hours across the Indiana/Kentucky
   border along the Ohio River. Within this region, the 850 mb jet will
   increase and subsequently contribute to the most favorable region of
   effective SRH around 200-300 m2/s2. Any semi-discrete cells that can
   track northward/northwestward into this region will likely take
   advantage of more favorable low-level SRH, taking on supercell
   characteristics and potential for tornadoes as they track near the
   warm front. This corridor will shift northeastward through the
   evening across southern Indiana and eventually southwestern Ohio
   through time.

   ..Thornton/Gleason.. 07/09/2024

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...ILN...LMK...IND...PAH...ILX...

   LAT...LON   38418761 38698753 38988725 39158690 39288635 39328602
               39338571 39358551 39478493 39498450 39348438 38878444
               37648501 37328512 36988633 37138710 37218725 37588760
               38418761 


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