Pacific Hurricane Feed

Tropical Depression Aletta Forecast Discussion

2024-07-05 16:32:31
1720212617


000
WTPZ41 KNHC 052032
TCDEP1

Tropical Depression Aletta Discussion Number   6
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP012024
200 PM MST Fri Jul 05 2024

Aletta is no longer producing organized deep convection. If this
current convective trend continues, Aletta will become a remnant low
later this evening. ASCAT-B data at 1712 UTC showed Aletta still has
a well-defined center, but indicated its maximum winds have
decreased to 25 kt.

The depression's initial motion estimate is 260/10 kt. Aletta
should generally remain on this heading with a similar forward
speed for the next day or so until it dissipates. Environmental
conditions around Aletta do not appear to be conducive for the
redevelopment of organized deep convection and all models indicate
that the cyclone will continue to weaken from this point.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  05/2100Z 18.6N 110.8W   25 KT  30 MPH
 12H  06/0600Z 18.3N 112.1W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 24H  06/1800Z 18.3N 113.8W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 36H  07/0600Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster D. Zelinsky



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