Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 1330

   Mesoscale Discussion 1330
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0924 PM CDT Tue Jun 18 2024

   Areas affected...OK and far northern TX Panhandles into northwest
   OK...southwest/central/eastern KS

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 435...

   Valid 190224Z - 190400Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 435
   continues.

   SUMMARY...Some severe wind/hail threat may persist through late
   evening.

   DISCUSSION...A cluster of strong storms is gradually propagating
   southward across the central/eastern OK Panhandle, and this trend
   may continue (with some additional backbuilding) as a strong
   low-level jet remains focused across the region. While deep-layer
   flow/shear decreases with southward extent, moderate to strong
   buoyancy will support a continued risk of isolated hail and
   strong/severe gusts, which may slowly spread into the far northern
   TX Panhandle and extreme northwest OK. 

   Farther northeast, a couple of bowing line segments that earlier
   developed over west-central KS appear to be weakening somewhat,
   though some threat for isolated severe gusts and perhaps some hail
   may continue beyond the 03Z expiration time of WW 435. Local watch
   extension may be considered if short-term trends continue to support
   maintenance of an organized severe risk.

   ..Dean/Edwards.. 06/19/2024

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...TOP...ICT...OUN...DDC...AMA...

   LAT...LON   36860181 38049933 38479857 39129766 39349623 38849594
               37799593 36659948 36340099 36590208 36860181