Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 1214

   Mesoscale Discussion 1214
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0251 AM CDT Sun Jun 09 2024

   Areas affected...southwest Missouri

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

   Valid 090751Z - 090915Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

   SUMMARY...An isolated large hail threat will persist this morning.

   DISCUSSION...Thunderstorms with occasional supercellular
   characteristics have developed across southwest Missouri in a region
   of weak isentropic ascent and moderate instability. The primary
   threat will be isolated large hail, with that threat persisting
   through the early morning hours. 

   The long-lived, severe-wind producing MCS across western Kansas is
   not anticipated to reach southwest Missouri, at least not with
   substantial severe potential, given the increasing inhibition and
   widespread stabilizing convection ahead of the remaining line. 

   Therefore, an isolated large hail threat may persist and necessitate
   a watch extension for a few more hours. However, an additional watch
   for storms moving out of Kansas is unlikely, for the aforementioned
   reasons.

   ..Bentley/Hart.. 06/09/2024

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...PAH...LSX...LZK...SGF...EAX...

   LAT...LON   38299451 38519323 38359203 38059147 37629104 37049105
               36449168 36539275 36749368 37179457 38299451