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Mesoscale Discussion 1145 | |
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Mesoscale Discussion 1145 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1122 PM CDT Sun Jun 02 2024 Areas affected...East Texas...Central and Northern Louisiana...Far Southern Arkansas Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 380... Valid 030422Z - 030615Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 380 continues. SUMMARY...An isolated wind-damage threat should continue for another hour or two across parts of east Texas and central to northern Louisiana. The threat is expected to be too marginal for watch issuance downstream from the current watch. DISCUSSION...The latest mosaic radar imagery shows a linear MCS from parts of the east Texas into western and northern Louisiana. RAP analysis has moderate instability located ahead of the line across parts of the lower Mississippi Valley, where MLCAPE is estimated to be in the 15000 to 2500 J/kg range. This, along with surface dewpoints in the mid to upper 70s F, should be sufficient for isolated damaging wind gusts. However, weakening instability ahead of the line should continue to result in a downtrend concerning convective intensity. ..Broyles.. 06/03/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...JAN...LZK...LCH...SHV...HGX... LAT...LON 32659171 33189197 33369239 33249285 32519296 32129309 31939341 31809409 31859477 31669526 31059518 30849465 30809348 31049244 31399200 31909176 32659171 |
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