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Mesoscale Discussion 1112 | |
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Mesoscale Discussion 1112 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0237 PM CDT Sat Jun 01 2024 Areas affected...parts of northern Utah. Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely Valid 011937Z - 012100Z Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent SUMMARY...A few stronger storms may develop with an increasing threat for severe wind gusts this afternoon/evening. DISCUSSION...Temperatures have warmed into the upper 70s to low 80s with dewpoints in the 30s and 40s across northern Utah. This has resulted instability around 250-500 J/kg MLCAPE with some additional increase possible as heating continues. A well-defined mid-level shortwave trough (on 6.2u water vapor imagery) is moving out of eastern Nevada which should provide sufficient lift for scattered thunderstorm development this afternoon. These relatively quick moving storms with an inverted-V thermodynamic profile will support a threat for severe wind gusts this afternoon and early evening. Once the boundary layer starts to cool this evening, expect the severe wind threat to wane. ..Bentley/Smith.. 06/01/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...SLC...LKN... LAT...LON 39531466 40391471 41241417 41871274 41831262 41431101 40701063 39551205 39351362 39251457 39531466 |
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