|
Mesoscale Discussion 757 | |
< Previous MD | |
![]() |
|
Mesoscale Discussion 0757 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1251 PM CDT Sun May 12 2024 Areas affected...Portions of Central into East Texas Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 232... Valid 121751Z - 121915Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 232 continues. SUMMARY...Additional storms may develop in central Texas near the warm front. Storms will likely be slightly elevated and pose primarily a risk of large hail. Storm coverage remains a bit uncertain. DISCUSSION...Visible satellite shows cumulus deepening along the warm frontal boundary in central Texas. Though the warm front has been reinforced by earlier convective outflow, the front may preferentially lift north in this location given that the bulk of convection is now farther east. Additional storm development seems most likely to occur within southwestern portions of WW 232 this afternoon. However, forecast soundings do suggest there may be some subsidence behind the earlier convection which creates some uncertainty as to storm coverage. Should storms develop, large hail will be the primary hazard. Any increase in tornado risk will be conditional on the warm front lifting northward and sufficient low-level jet strength remaining (as the core is forecast to move east with time). ..Wendt.. 05/12/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...SHV...HGX...FWD...EWX... LAT...LON 30719478 30499490 30409512 29949545 29889553 29609597 29749678 30199752 30959786 31389767 31619720 31879537 31599475 31209466 30719478 |
|
Top/All Mesoscale Discussions/Forecast Products/Home |