Mesoscale Discussion 0651 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0158 PM CDT Mon May 06 2024 Areas affected...Central KS and south-central NE Concerning...Tornado Watch 187... Valid 061858Z - 062030Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 187 continues. SUMMARY...Overall severe threat, primarily in the form of large hail through late afternoon within WW 187, should be confined to central Kansas into south-central Nebraska. The tornado threat should increase, mainly across the Kansas portion of the watch. DISCUSSION...A convective arc across south-central NE to west-central KS has produced a few reports of large hail reported up to 1.25 inches in diameter. Pervasive stratus downstream has slowed destabilization farther east and north, especially within the NE portion of the watch. Current expectations are that the severe threat will largely remain confined to the southern portion of the watch over the next few hours where a plume of 1000-2000 J/kg of MLCAPE is common. 18Z DDC sounding sampled some reduction in low-level hodograph curvature, as indicated by its VWP time-series. Still, along the northern extent of the instability plume in north-central KS, more backed low-level flow will foster a threat of tornadoes, focused along the I-70 corridor. ..Grams.. 05/06/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...TOP...ICT...GID...LBF...DDC...GLD... LAT...LON 40519951 41109927 41199861 40979819 40209787 39269793 38499827 38109887 38100002 38410018 39509958 40029948 40519951