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Mesoscale Discussion 617 | |
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Mesoscale Discussion 0617 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0531 PM CDT Fri May 03 2024 Areas affected...Western and central Nebraska/Kansas border Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible Valid 032231Z - 040000Z Probability of Watch Issuance...60 percent SUMMARY...Large hail and damaging winds are possible as storms continue south-southeastward near the Kansas/Nebraska border. Though low, a tornado could also occur with stronger, discrete storms. A watch is possible within the next 1-2 hours. DISCUSSION...Surface moisture continues to return into southern Nebraska. Convection in the vicinity of North Platte has deepened over the last 30 minutes as result. With an expected increase in low-level southerly winds over the next few hours, low 50s F dewpoints will likely push into southern Nebraska ahead of the approaching cold front. Convection that can mature will likely be sustained by the low-level jet. Large hail and damaging winds will likely be the primary threats. Surface dewpoint depressions are enough that the tornado threat should remain low. However, low-level hodograph curvature will increase this evening and discrete storms near the theta-e gradient will pose some tornado risk. A watch is possible within the next 1-2 hours. ..Wendt.. 05/03/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...TOP...GID...LBF...GLD...BOU... LAT...LON 40820211 41210153 40869836 40299745 39699771 39209888 39100085 39320174 40050249 40820211 |
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