The forecasts depicted below combine WPC forecasts of fronts, isobars and high/low pressure centers with the NDFD depiction of expected weather type for days .5 to 2.5 ahead. Each frame represents 6 hours. A short range forecast discussion for the CONUS is available below the short term loop.

Short Term Forecast Frontal Systems and Isobars Loop

Short Term Frontal Systems and Isobars Loop

Short Range Forecast Discussion

FXUS01 KWBC 050758
PMDSPD

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
258 AM EST Thu Nov 5 2026

Valid 12Z Thu Nov 05 2026 - 12Z Sat Nov 07 2026

...Heavy rainfall shifts into the Eastern Seaboard...

The long advertised cold front extending across the Ohio Valley
continues an eastward track, and will spread showers and 
thunderstorms into the Eastern Seaboard this morning. An uptick in
rainfall coverage is expected tomorrow over portions of the 
Northeast and New England as moisture ramps up ahead of an
approaching upper-trough, which will drive an isolated to 
scattered flash flood threat. Thunderstorm coverage should also
increase near the tail end of the front near South Texas, where 
some heavy rainfall is possible going into the weekend. Meanwhile,
in the Northwest, an active storm track will lead a parade of 
Pacific systems and soaking rains across the region beginning 
tomorrow. This activity should largely be beneficial given the 
prevailing drought conditions in the region.

Temperature wise, a pair of reinforcing cold fronts behind the main
boundary will send cooler than average temperatures southward over
portions of the Plains and Midwest. Ahead of this cool air,
unseasonably mild weather will prevail east of the Mississippi
River for the next day or two.

Asherman

Graphics available at
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/basicwx/basicwx_ndfd.php




$$

Depicted Weather Types

  • NDFD Rain (Chance) – There is chance of measurable rain (≥0.01″) at the valid time.
  • NDFD Rain (Likely) – Measurable rain (≥0.01″) is likely at the valid time.
  • NDFD Snow (Chance) – There is chance of measurable snowfall (≥0.01″ liquid equivalent) at the valid time.
  • NDFD Snow (Likely) – Measurable snow (≥0.01″ liquid equivalent) is likely at the valid time.
  • NDFD Mix (Chance) – There is a chance of measurable mixed precipitation (≥0.01″ liquid equivalent) at the valid time.  “Mixed” can refer to precipitation where a combination of rain and snow, rain and sleet, or snow and sleet are forecast.
  • NDFD Mix (Likely) – Measurable mixed precipitation (≥0.01″ liquid equivalent) is likely at the valid time.  “Mixed” can refer to precipitation where a combination of rain and snow, rain and sleet, or snow and sleet are forecast.
  • NDFD Ice (Chance) – There is a chance of measurable sleet and/or freezing rain (≥0.01″ liquid equivalent) at the valid time.
  • NDFD Ice (Likely) – Measurable sleet and/or freezing rain (≥0.01″ liquid equivalent) is likely at the valid time.
  • NDFD T-Storm (Chance) – There is a chance of thunderstorms at the valid time.   Areas are displayed with diagonal hatching enclosed in a dark red border.
  • NDFD T-Storm (Likely and/or Severe) – Thunderstorms are likely and/or the potential exists for some storms to reach severe levels at the valid time.