327 WTNT22 KNHC 282042 TCMAT2 POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE TWO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022022 2100 UTC TUE JUN 28 2022 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF VENEZUELA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE NORTHERN COAST OF VENEZUELA FROM THE PENINSULA DE PARAGUANA WESTWARD TO THE COLOMBIA/VENEZUELA BORDER INCLUDING THE GULF OF VENEZUELA. THE GOVERNMENT OF COLOMBIA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE NORTHEASTERN COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM THE COLOMBIA/VENEZUELA BORDER WESTWARD TO SANTA MARTA. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * TRINIDAD AND TOBAGO * GRENADA AND ITS DEPENDENCIES * ISLAS DE MARGARITA...COCHE AND CUBAGUA * BONAIRE * CURACAO * ARUBA A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * COAST OF VENEZUELA FROM PEDERNALES TO CUMANA * COAST OF VENEZUELA FROM THE PENINSULA DE PARAGUANA WESTWARD TO THE COLOMBIA/VENEZUELA BORDER INCLUDING THE GULF OF VENEZUELA. * COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM THE COLOMBIA/VENEZUELA BORDER WESTWARD TO SANTA MARTA A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE WINDWARD ISLANDS...THE NORTHERN COAST OF VENEZUELA...AND THE NORTHEASTERN COAST OF COLOMBIA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.1N 59.5W AT 28/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 21 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 50NE 0SE 0SW 50NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.1N 59.5W AT 28/2100Z AT 28/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.0N 58.3W FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 10.8N 62.5W...POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 11.4N 66.6W...TROPICAL CYCLONE MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 0SE 0SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 11.9N 70.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 0SE 0SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 12.1N 73.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 80NE 0SE 0SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 12.1N 77.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT...100NE 30SE 0SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 12.0N 80.4W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT...100NE 60SE 30SW 90NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 02/1800Z 12.0N 85.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 03/1800Z 13.0N 90.5W MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.1N 59.5W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPAT2...AT 29/0000Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0300Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH