887 WTPZ23 KNHC 212033 TCMEP3 TROPICAL STORM CELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 21 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032022 2100 UTC TUE JUN 21 2022 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.5N 101.3W AT 21/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 0NE 0SE 50SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 30NE 30SE 0SW 30NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.5N 101.3W AT 21/2100Z AT 21/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 100.8W FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 13.0N 102.8W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 30SE 50SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 13.7N 104.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 14.5N 106.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT... 90NE 70SE 60SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 15.3N 107.4W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 15SE 0SW 15NW. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT...110NE 80SE 70SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 16.0N 108.7W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT...120NE 90SE 70SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 16.6N 110.0W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...130NE 110SE 70SW 90NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z 17.8N 112.5W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 19.2N 115.4W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.5N 101.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BERG