GMZ005-080900-
Synopsis for Keys coastal waters from Ocean Reef to Dry Tortugas
446 PM EDT Wed Oct 7 2026
.SYNOPSIS...Tropical Storm Isaias, currently over the southwestern
Gulf waters, is expected to move towards the North Gulf Coast
over the next few days, strengthening as it does so. A cold front
currently draped across north-central Florida will slowly press
southward infringing on the surface ridge to its south. In doing
so, these systems will act in tandem and create a tightening
pressure gradient across the Keys, resulting in freshening mainly
southeast breezes as we head into the weekend. In addition,
moisture will also be on the rise leading to higher rain and
thunder chances. Any showers and storms will be capable of causing
hazardous marine conditions through the weekend.
The Approximate Shoreward Edge of the Gulf Stream as of October 2, 2026...
39 NM south-southeast of Dry Tortugas Light, on Loggerhead Key
14 NM south-southeast of Cosgrove Shoal Light, off the Marquesas Keys
8 NM south-southeast of Sand Key Light, off Key West
2 NM south-southeast of Looe Key, off Big Pine Key
1 NM south-southeast of Sombrero Key Light, off Marathon
0 NM south-southeast of Alligator Reef Light, off Islamorada
2 NM northwest of Molasses Reef Light, off Key Largo
2 NM northwest of Carysfort Reef Light, off Ocean Reef
Gulf Stream Information Courtesy of the Naval Oceanographic Office.
$$
GMZ042>044-080900-
Hawk Channel from Ocean Reef to Craig Key out to the reef-
Hawk Channel from Craig Key to west end of Seven Mile Bridge out
to the reef-
Hawk Channel from west end of Seven Mile Bridge to Halfmoon Shoal
out to the reef-
446 PM EDT Wed Oct 7 2026
TONIGHT
Southwest to west winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming south
late. Seas 1 foot or less. Nearshore waters smooth to a light
chop. A chance of showers with a slight chance of thunderstorms.
THURSDAY
South winds near 10 knots early, decreasing to 5 to
10 knots. Seas around 1 foot. Nearshore waters a light chop,
becoming smooth to a light chop. A chance of showers with a slight
chance of thunderstorms.
THURSDAY NIGHT
Southeast winds near 10 knots, increasing to 10
to 15 knots. Seas building to 1 to 2 feet. Nearshore waters a
light chop, becoming a light to moderate chop. A slight chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
FRIDAY
Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots, increasing to near 15
feet. Seas 1 to 2 feet, building to 2 to 3 feet. Nearshore waters
a light to moderate chop. A chance of showers with a slight
chance of thunderstorms.
FRIDAY NIGHT
Southeast winds increasing to near 15 knots. Seas
building to 2 to 4 feet, occasionally to 5 feet, except 4 to 5
feet, occasionally to 6 feet west of Cosgrove Shoal Light.
Nearshore waters becoming a moderate chop. Showers likely with a
chance of thunderstorms.
SATURDAY
Southeast to south winds near 15 knots. Seas 3 to 5
feet, occasionally to 6 feet. Nearshore waters a moderate chop. A
chance of showers and thunderstorms.
SATURDAY NIGHT
Southeast winds near 15 knots. Seas 3 to
4 feet, occasionally to 5 feet. Nearshore waters a moderate chop.
A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
SUNDAY
East to southeast winds decreasing to 10 to 15 knots.
Seas subsiding to 2 to 4 feet, occasionally to 5 feet. Nearshore
waters becoming a light to moderate chop.
SUNDAY NIGHT
East winds near 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet.
Nearshore waters a light chop.
MONDAY
Northeast to east winds near 10 knots, decreasing to 5
to 10 knots. Seas subsiding to 1 to 2 feet. Nearshore waters a
light chop, becoming smooth to a light chop.
MONDAY NIGHT
Northeast to east winds near 5 knots. Seas around
1 foot. Nearshore waters smooth. A slight chance of showers.
$$
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