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Tropical Storm Nicole Wind Speed Probabilities


180 
FONT12 KNHC 091449
PWSAT2

TROPICAL STORM NICOLE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  10           
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL172022               
1500 UTC WED NOV 09 2022                                            

AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NICOLE WAS LOCATED NEAR       
LATITUDE 26.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 76.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 60 KTS...70 MPH...110 KM/H.                              

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  STANDARD TIME (EST)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  STANDARD TIME (CST)...SUBTRACT 6 HOURS FROM Z TIME      

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   

CHARLOTTESVIL  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

DANVILLE VA    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)

GREENSBORO NC  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  10(10)   X(10)   X(10)

RALEIGH NC     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

ROCKY MT NC    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

FAYETTEVILLE   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

CHARLOTTE NC   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  10(11)   X(11)   X(11)

FLORENCE SC    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

COLUMBIA SC    34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   8(11)   X(11)   X(11)

LITTLE RIVER   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

MYRTLE BEACH   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

GEORGETOWN SC  34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

CHARLESTON SC  34  X   1( 1)   3( 4)   1( 5)   3( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)

BEAUFORT MCAS  34  X   5( 5)   4( 9)   2(11)   2(13)   X(13)   X(13)

ATLANTA GA     34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

AUGUSTA GA     34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   6( 8)   5(13)   X(13)   X(13)

SAVANNAH GA    34  X   8( 8)   4(12)   3(15)   1(16)   X(16)   X(16)

KINGS BAY GA   34 16  15(31)   7(38)   2(40)   X(40)   X(40)   X(40)

WAYCROSS GA    34  1  16(17)   9(26)   5(31)   X(31)   X(31)   X(31)

MAYPORT NS FL  34 24  13(37)   7(44)   1(45)   X(45)   X(45)   X(45)

JACKSONVILLE   34 20  18(38)  10(48)   X(48)   X(48)   X(48)   X(48)

GAINESVILLE FL 34 26  32(58)  19(77)   1(78)   X(78)   X(78)   X(78)
GAINESVILLE FL 50  X   1( 1)   4( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

DAYTONA BEACH  34 88   8(96)   X(96)   X(96)   X(96)   X(96)   X(96)
DAYTONA BEACH  50  X   3( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

THE VILLAGES   34 55  34(89)   3(92)   1(93)   X(93)   X(93)   X(93)
THE VILLAGES   50  X   4( 4)  10(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)
THE VILLAGES   64  X   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)

ORLANDO FL     34 89  10(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
ORLANDO FL     50  X  16(16)   6(22)   X(22)   X(22)   X(22)   X(22)
ORLANDO FL     64  X   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

COCOA BEACH FL 34 76  19(95)   X(95)   X(95)   X(95)   X(95)   X(95)
COCOA BEACH FL 50  1  20(21)   1(22)   X(22)   X(22)   X(22)   X(22)
COCOA BEACH FL 64  X   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

PATRICK AFB    34 76  19(95)   X(95)   X(95)   X(95)   X(95)   X(95)
PATRICK AFB    50  1  20(21)   1(22)   X(22)   X(22)   X(22)   X(22)
PATRICK AFB    64  X   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

FT PIERCE FL   34 82  15(97)   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)
FT PIERCE FL   50  4  48(52)   X(52)   X(52)   X(52)   X(52)   X(52)
FT PIERCE FL   64  X  11(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)

W PALM BEACH   34 74   6(80)   X(80)   X(80)   X(80)   X(80)   X(80)
W PALM BEACH   50  6  25(31)   X(31)   X(31)   X(31)   X(31)   X(31)
W PALM BEACH   64  X   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

FT LAUDERDALE  34 45   5(50)   X(50)   X(50)   X(50)   X(50)   X(50)
FT LAUDERDALE  50  2   3( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

MIAMI FL       34 27   5(32)   X(32)   X(32)   X(32)   X(32)   X(32)

HOMESTEAD ARB  34 10   5(15)   1(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)

MARATHON FL    34  6   3( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)

KEY WEST FL    34  5   2( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

NAPLES FL      34 17   5(22)   1(23)   X(23)   X(23)   X(23)   X(23)

FT MYERS FL    34 21  12(33)   1(34)   X(34)   X(34)   X(34)   X(34)
FT MYERS FL    50  X   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

VENICE FL      34 18  17(35)   1(36)   X(36)   X(36)   X(36)   X(36)
VENICE FL      50  X   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

TAMPA FL       34 25  36(61)   6(67)   X(67)   X(67)   X(67)   X(67)
TAMPA FL       50  X   8( 8)   8(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)
TAMPA FL       64  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

CEDAR KEY FL   34 13  32(45)  24(69)   X(69)   X(69)   X(69)   X(69)
CEDAR KEY FL   50  X   1( 1)  11(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)
CEDAR KEY FL   64  X   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)

TALLAHASSEE FL 34  X  12(12)  27(39)   6(45)   X(45)   X(45)   X(45)
TALLAHASSEE FL 50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

ST MARKS FL    34  X  15(15)  32(47)   3(50)   X(50)   X(50)   X(50)
ST MARKS FL    50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

APALACHICOLA   34  X   8( 8)  11(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)

GFMX 290N 850W 34  X   8( 8)   6(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)

PANAMA CITY FL 34  X   4( 4)   6(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)

DESTIN EXEC AP 34  X   1( 1)   3( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

COLUMBUS GA    34  X   X( X)   3( 3)   3( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

GRAND BAHAMA   34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
GRAND BAHAMA   50 69   3(72)   X(72)   X(72)   X(72)   X(72)   X(72)
GRAND BAHAMA   64 14   2(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)

NEW PROVIDENCE 34 26   1(27)   X(27)   X(27)   X(27)   X(27)   X(27)

ANDROS         34  8   2(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)

GREAT EXUMA    34  5   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

SAN SALVADOR   34  4   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BEVEN                                                    



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