000
FONT15 KNHC 020248
PWSAT5
TROPICAL STORM LISA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152022
0300 UTC WED NOV 02 2022
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LISA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
16.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
60 KTS...70 MPH...110 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
TUXPAN MX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4)
VERACRUZ MX 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 2(11) 2(13)
FRONTERA MX 34 X 2( 2) 5( 7) 13(20) 15(35) X(35) 1(36)
FRONTERA MX 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 6( 9) 1(10) X(10)
FRONTERA MX 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
MERIDA MX 34 X 3( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
COZUMEL MX 34 2 3( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
BELIZE CITY 34 6 87(93) 1(94) 1(95) X(95) X(95) X(95)
BELIZE CITY 50 1 63(64) 4(68) X(68) X(68) X(68) X(68)
BELIZE CITY 64 X 38(38) 3(41) X(41) X(41) X(41) X(41)
PUERTO BARRIOS 34 1 6( 7) 4(11) X(11) 1(12) X(12) X(12)
GUANAJA 34 89 1(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) X(90)
GUANAJA 50 12 1(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13)
GUANAJA 64 5 X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
S SALVADOR 34 1 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
TEGUCIGALPA 34 1 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
P SAN JOSE 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
GUATEMALA CITY 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 1( 5)
TAPACHULA 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) 1( 5)
$$
FORECASTER BUCCI/CANGIALOSI