000 WTNT25 KNHC 311456 TCMAT5 TROPICAL STORM IDALIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 20 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102023 1500 UTC THU AUG 31 2023 NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM). CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP). TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.6N 75.8W AT 31/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR 90 DEGREES AT 17 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 992 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 0NE 0SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT.......180NE 160SE 150SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS..160NE 200SE 160SW 90NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.6N 75.8W AT 31/1500Z AT 31/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 33.7N 77.0W FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 33.6N 73.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 0SE 30SW 90NW. 34 KT...200NE 130SE 150SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 32.8N 70.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...190NE 120SE 170SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 31.7N 68.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...170NE 40SE 50SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 31.1N 67.3W...TROPICAL CYCLONE MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...150NE 0SE 0SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 31.1N 66.6W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...140NE 40SE 0SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 31.8N 65.3W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...140NE 90SE 40SW 90NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z 34.3N 62.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 37.0N 61.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.6N 75.8W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 31/1800Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BERG