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Tropical Storm Idalia Forecast Advisory



261 
WTNT25 KNHC 302049
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM IDALIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL102023
2100 UTC WED AUG 30 2023

NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.2N  81.7W AT 30/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  35 DEGREES AT  18 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  984 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE  40SE  25SW  30NW.
34 KT.......140NE 180SE  50SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS..  0NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.2N  81.7W AT 30/2100Z
AT 30/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.5N  82.5W

FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 33.4N  79.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...130NE 180SE  90SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 34.1N  75.7W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE   0SE   0SW  60NW.
34 KT...160NE 140SE 120SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 33.7N  72.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...190NE  70SE 130SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 32.8N  69.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...170NE  70SE  80SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 32.1N  68.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...150NE   0SE  40SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 31.7N  67.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...140NE   0SE  30SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 03/1800Z 32.3N  65.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z 34.4N  61.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.2N  81.7W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 31/0000Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG





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