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Tropical Storm Earl Forecast Advisory


756 
WTNT21 KNHC 042044
TCMAT1

TROPICAL STORM EARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062022
2100 UTC SUN SEP 04 2022

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS...THE VIRGIN
ISLANDS...PUERTO RICO...AND BERMUDA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
EARL.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.0N  65.2W AT 04/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT   4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 90NE  90SE   0SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  30SE   0SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.0N  65.2W AT 04/2100Z
AT 04/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.0N  64.9W

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 21.1N  65.2W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE   0SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 22.3N  65.4W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 23.5N  65.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  50SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 24.6N  65.6W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  60SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 25.4N  65.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE  80SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 26.4N  65.1W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE 120SE 100SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 08/1800Z 28.2N  64.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 31.4N  61.5W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.0N  65.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER PAPIN





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