000 WTNT25 KNHC 181444 TCMAT5 TROPICAL STORM DON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 18 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052023 1500 UTC TUE JUL 18 2023 NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM). CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP). TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.6N 39.3W AT 18/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OR 165 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 0NE 0SE 70SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 120SE 150SW 100NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.6N 39.3W AT 18/1500Z AT 18/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 36.0N 39.4W FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 34.6N 39.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 0NE 0SE 70SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 33.9N 39.4W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 0NE 0SE 70SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 33.7N 40.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 40SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 34.0N 41.7W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 34.7N 43.3W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 35.7N 45.1W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 22/1200Z 39.0N 49.3W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z 44.0N 49.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 35.6N 39.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE