Atlantic Basin Tropical Cyclones

Tropical Depression Karl Forecast Advisory


000
WTNT24 KNHC 150239
TCMAT4

TROPICAL DEPRESSION KARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL142022
0300 UTC SAT OCT 15 2022

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED ALL WARNINGS ALONG THE
COAST OF MEXICO.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN SOUTHERN MEXICO SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF KARL.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.1N  92.8W AT 15/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTH OR 190 DEGREES AT   3 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.1N  92.8W AT 15/0300Z
AT 15/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.2N  92.7W

FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 18.6N  93.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 18.2N  93.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.1N  92.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BUCCI




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