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Potential Tropical Cyclone One Wind Speed Probabilities


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POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE ONE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   9  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL012022               
2100 UTC SAT JUN 04 2022                                            

AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE ONE WAS LOCATED   
NEAR LATITUDE 27.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 79.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM         
SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H.                     

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        18Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   

COCOA BEACH FL 34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

PATRICK AFB    34  3   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

FT PIERCE FL   34  6   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

W PALM BEACH   34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

FT LAUDERDALE  34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

BERMUDA        34  X   X( X)   2( 2)  26(28)   2(30)   X(30)   X(30)
BERMUDA        50  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

GRAND BAHAMA   34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

NEW PROVIDENCE 34  2   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BEVEN                                                    



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