205 WTNT33 KNHC 170553 TCPAT3 BULLETIN Post-Tropical Cyclone Lee Intermediate Advisory Number 47A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132023 200 AM AST Sun Sep 17 2023 ...LEE OVER SOUTHEASTERN NEW BRUNSWICK... ...STRONG WINDS, COASTAL FLOODING, AND HEAVY RAINS ARE OCCURRING IN PORTIONS OF ATLANTIC CANADA... SUMMARY OF 200 AM AST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...45.9N 64.8W ABOUT 10 MI...15 KM SW OF MONCTON NEW BRUNSWICK MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 30 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...983 MB...29.03 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The Canadian Hurricane Centre has discontinued all Tropical Storm Warnings for New Brunswick, including Grand Manan Island. The Canadian Hurricane Centre has discontinued the Tropical Storm Warning for Prince Edward Island from west of Victoria westward to Lower Darnley. The Canadian Hurricane Centre has discontinued the Tropical Storm Warning for Nova Scotia from Tidnish eastward to west of Brule, the Fundy Coast from Ft. Lawrence east of Margaretsville and from Lower East Pubnico to west of Hubbards. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Nova Scotia from Brule eastward to Point Aconi then southwestward to Hubbards * Prince Edward Island from east of Lower Darnley eastward to Victoria * Magdalen Islands A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning, in this case today. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 200 AM AST (0600 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Lee was located near latitude 45.9 North, longitude 64.8 West. The post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the north-northeast near 14 mph (22 km/h). A faster northeastward motion is expected during the next day or so, taking the system across the Canadian Maritimes. Maximum sustained winds remain near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts. Steady weakening is forecast the next couple of days. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 290 miles (465 km) from the center. Beaver Island Nova Scotia recently reported a sustained wind of 52 mph (83 km/h) with a gust to 61 mph (98 km/h). The estimated minimum central pressure is 983 mb (29.03 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Lee can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT3 and WMO header WTNT43 KNHC and on the web at hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT3.shtml WIND: Tropical storm conditions will continues in portions of the warning areas today. The strong winds are leading to some downed trees and power outages. SURF: Swells generated by Lee are affecting Puerto Rico, Hispaniola, the Turks and Caicos Islands, the Bahamas, Bermuda, the east coast of the United States, and Atlantic Canada. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. RAINFALL: Lee is expected to produce an additional 1 inch (25 mm) or less, across eastern portions of New Brunswick. STORM SURGE: A dangerous storm surge will produce coastal flooding within the wind warning areas in Atlantic Canada in areas of onshore winds. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Blake