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Hurricane Ian Forecast Advisory


000
WTNT24 KNHC 292057
TCMAT4

HURRICANE IAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  29
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092022
2100 UTC THU SEP 29 2022

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

A STORM SURGE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM LITTLE RIVER INLET TO
CAPE FEAR.

A HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE COAST OF NORTH CAROLINA
FROM LITTLE RIVER INLET TO CAPE FEAR.

A STORM SURGE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE CAPE FEAR RIVER.

A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM EAST OF CAPE FEAR TO SURF
CITY...NORTH CAROLINA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A STORM SURGE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* FLAGLER/VOLUSIA LINE TO CAPE FEAR
* NEUSE RIVER
* ST. JOHNS RIVER

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SAVANNAH RIVER TO CAPE FEAR

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* VERO BEACH FLORIDA TO SAVANNAH RIVER
* EAST OF CAPE FEAR TO DUCK NORTH CAROLINA
* PAMLICO SOUND

A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CAPE FEAR TO DUCK NORTH CAROLINA
* PAMLICO RIVER
* CAPE FEAR RIVER

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* FLAGLER/VOLUSIA COUNTY LINE TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER
* EAST OF CAPE FEAR TO SURF CITY

A STORM SURGE WARNING MEANS THERE IS A DANGER OF LIFE-THREATENING
INUNDATION...FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE...IN
THE INDICATED LOCATIONS. FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK...PLEASE
SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING
GRAPHIC...AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV.  THIS IS A LIFE-THREATENING
SITUATION.
PERSONS LOCATED WITHIN THESE AREAS SHOULD TAKE ALL NECESSARY ACTIONS
TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY FROM RISING WATER AND THE POTENTIAL FOR
OTHER DANGEROUS CONDITIONS.  PROMPTLY FOLLOW EVACUATION AND OTHER
INSTRUCTIONS FROM LOCAL OFFICIALS.

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.

A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE-
THREATENING INUNDATION...FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE
COASTLINE...IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF IAN.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.3N  79.9W AT 29/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  30 DEGREES AT   9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  986 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT.......  0NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
50 KT.......120NE   0SE  40SW 100NW.
34 KT.......360NE 140SE 150SW 200NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 120SE  60SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.3N  79.9W AT 29/2100Z
AT 29/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.9N  80.1W

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 30.5N  79.4W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 50NE   0SE   0SW  50NW.
50 KT...100NE  50SE  50SW  90NW.
34 KT...300NE 150SE 120SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 32.8N  79.6W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
50 KT... 90NE  80SE  30SW  80NW.
34 KT...210NE 120SE  80SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 35.0N  80.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 36.5N  81.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  15 KT...GUSTS  20 KT.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.3N  79.9W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 30/0000Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE




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