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Hurricane Fiona Forecast Advisory


000
WTNT22 KNHC 211452
TCMAT2

HURRICANE FIONA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  29
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL072022
1500 UTC WED SEP 21 2022

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.  A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

INTERESTS IN ATLANTIC CANADA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS
SYSTEM.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.6N  71.7W AT 21/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR   0 DEGREES AT   7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  937 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 70NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT.......140NE 130SE  80SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 180SE 150SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.6N  71.7W AT 21/1500Z
AT 21/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.2N  71.7W

FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 25.8N  71.4W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 80NE  80SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 28.0N  70.5W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  80SE  70SW  90NW.
34 KT...180NE 190SE 120SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 30.7N  68.9W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
50 KT...100NE 100SE  70SW  90NW.
34 KT...200NE 210SE 150SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 34.4N  65.4W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  60SE  30SW  50NW.
50 KT...100NE 100SE  80SW  90NW.
34 KT...200NE 210SE 150SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 39.7N  61.8W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT...110NE 120SE  90SW  90NW.
34 KT...240NE 240SE 200SW 220NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 45.3N  60.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT...120NE 140SE 120SW 100NW.
34 KT...270NE 270SE 270SW 220NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z 51.5N  60.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z 58.0N  59.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.6N  71.7W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPAT2...AT 21/1800Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH




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