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Hurricane Danielle Forecast Advisory


861 
WTNT25 KNHC 052031
TCMAT5

HURRICANE DANIELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052022
2100 UTC MON SEP 05 2022

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 41.1N  43.2W AT 05/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  30 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  976 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  60SE  60SW  50NW.
34 KT.......120NE 120SE 120SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 210SE 180SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 41.1N  43.2W AT 05/2100Z
AT 05/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 40.8N  43.5W

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 41.9N  42.2W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  15NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 130SE 120SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 42.6N  40.4W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  20SE  20SW  15NW.
50 KT... 60NE  70SE  70SW  60NW.
34 KT...130NE 140SE 130SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 43.4N  38.1W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT...  0NE  20SE  20SW   0NW.
50 KT... 60NE  70SE  70SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 150SE 150SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 44.6N  35.3W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT...  0NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 50NE  70SE  60SW  30NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 150SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 46.2N  32.4W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  50SE  40SW  30NW.
34 KT...160NE 170SE 160SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 48.2N  29.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  50SE  40SW  30NW.
34 KT...160NE 170SE 160SW 150NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 50.0N  29.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 47.5N  25.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 41.1N  43.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER D. ZELINSKY





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