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Tropical Storm Victor Forecast Advisory


000
WTNT25 KNHC 012039
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM VICTOR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL202021
2100 UTC FRI OCT 01 2021

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.0N  34.3W AT 01/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT  11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 60NE   0SE   0SW  60NW.
34 KT.......120NE  60SE  80SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 120SE  90SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.0N  34.3W AT 01/2100Z
AT 01/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.8N  33.8W

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 12.7N  35.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE   0SE   0SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  60SE  60SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 13.9N  37.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...110NE  60SE  60SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 15.6N  39.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...110NE  50SE   0SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 17.6N  40.9W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...100NE  50SE   0SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 19.7N  42.9W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...100NE  40SE   0SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 21.5N  44.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 70NE   0SE   0SW  50NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 24.5N  47.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.0N  34.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER D. ZELINSKY




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