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Tropical Storm Victor Forecast Advisory


000
WTNT25 KNHC 010841
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM VICTOR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL202021
0900 UTC FRI OCT 01 2021

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.7N  32.3W AT 01/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT  13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 50NE   0SE   0SW  50NW.
34 KT.......140NE  90SE   0SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE  90SE  45SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.7N  32.3W AT 01/0900Z
AT 01/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.4N  31.7W

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 12.4N  33.6W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE   0SE   0SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE  80SE  30SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 13.4N  35.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE   0SE   0SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE  80SE  30SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 14.9N  36.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...120NE  70SE  30SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 16.7N  38.6W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE  60SE  20SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 19.0N  40.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE   0SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 21.0N  42.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE   0SW  50NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 24.0N  44.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z 28.0N  45.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.7N  32.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART




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