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Tropical Storm Victor Forecast Advisory



782 
WTNT25 KNHC 010238
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM VICTOR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL202021
0300 UTC FRI OCT 01 2021

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.6N  30.7W AT 01/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 70NE   0SE   0SW  70NW.
34 KT.......150NE  80SE   0SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 105SE  45SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.6N  30.7W AT 01/0300Z
AT 01/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.3N  30.2W

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 11.3N  32.1W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 70NE   0SE   0SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE  80SE  30SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 12.4N  33.8W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 70NE   0SE   0SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE  80SE  50SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 13.9N  35.2W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE   0SE   0SW  60NW.
34 KT...130NE  70SE  50SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 15.5N  36.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...100NE  60SE  40SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 17.7N  38.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  30SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 20.2N  40.4W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  30SW  50NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 25.0N  43.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 28.5N  43.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.6N  30.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN





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