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Tropical Storm Victor Forecast Advisory


000
WTNT25 KNHC 020842
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM VICTOR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL202021
0900 UTC SAT OCT 02 2021

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.8N  36.3W AT 02/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......110NE  60SE   0SW 110NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE  90SE 150SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.8N  36.3W AT 02/0900Z
AT 02/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.5N  35.8W

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 13.8N  37.7W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 90NE   0SE   0SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 15.5N  39.6W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 17.6N  41.8W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 19.8N  43.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 21.7N  45.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 23.1N  47.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.8N  36.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART




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