Currently Active Systems

Tropical Storm Rose Forecast Advisory


000
WTNT22 KNHC 210245
TCMAT2

TROPICAL STORM ROSE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL172021
0300 UTC TUE SEP 21 2021

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N  35.4W AT 21/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT  13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 80NE  80SE  40SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N  35.4W AT 21/0300Z
AT 21/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.6N  35.2W

FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 20.5N  36.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  40SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 22.2N  37.6W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  30SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 23.5N  38.7W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 24.8N  39.9W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 26.1N  40.7W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 27.3N  40.8W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z 29.0N  38.2W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z 30.5N  33.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.9N  35.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN




Source link