Atlantic Basin Tropical Cyclones

Tropical Storm Nicole Wind Speed Probabilities


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FONT12 KNHC 102046
PWSAT2

TROPICAL STORM NICOLE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  15           
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL172022               
2100 UTC THU NOV 10 2022                                            

AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NICOLE WAS LOCATED NEAR       
LATITUDE 29.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 83.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H.                               

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  STANDARD TIME (EST)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  STANDARD TIME (CST)...SUBTRACT 6 HOURS FROM Z TIME      

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        18Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   

CHARLOTTE NC   34  X   8( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)

COLUMBIA SC    34  1   4( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

ATLANTA GA     34  2   6( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)

AUGUSTA GA     34  3   9(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)

SAVANNAH GA    34  3   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

KINGS BAY GA   34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

WAYCROSS GA    34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

MAYPORT NS FL  34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

JACKSONVILLE   34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

GAINESVILLE FL 34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

DAYTONA BEACH  34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

THE VILLAGES   34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

TAMPA FL       34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

CEDAR KEY FL   34 49   X(49)   X(49)   X(49)   X(49)   X(49)   X(49)

TALLAHASSEE FL 34 79   X(79)   X(79)   X(79)   X(79)   X(79)   X(79)

ST MARKS FL    34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

APALACHICOLA   34 17   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)

GFMX 290N 850W 34  5   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

PANAMA CITY FL 34  5   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

COLUMBUS GA    34 12   2(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)

$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BEVEN                                                    



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