000
FONT12 KNHC 092052
PWSAT2
TROPICAL STORM NICOLE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172022
2100 UTC WED NOV 09 2022
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NICOLE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 26.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 77.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 60 KTS...70 MPH...110 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN STANDARD TIME (EST)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL STANDARD TIME (CST)...SUBTRACT 6 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
CHARLOTTE NC 34 X X( X) X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
FLORENCE SC 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
COLUMBIA SC 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 7( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
GEORGETOWN SC 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
CHARLESTON SC 34 X 4( 4) 1( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
BEAUFORT MCAS 34 3 7(10) 1(11) 2(13) X(13) X(13) X(13)
ATLANTA GA 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 4( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
AUGUSTA GA 34 X 2( 2) 3( 5) 10(15) X(15) X(15) X(15)
SAVANNAH GA 34 9 5(14) 2(16) 2(18) X(18) X(18) X(18)
KINGS BAY GA 34 32 9(41) 1(42) X(42) X(42) X(42) X(42)
WAYCROSS GA 34 21 15(36) 9(45) 1(46) X(46) X(46) X(46)
MAYPORT NS FL 34 41 8(49) 1(50) X(50) X(50) X(50) X(50)
JACKSONVILLE 34 67 10(77) 1(78) X(78) X(78) X(78) X(78)
GAINESVILLE FL 34 86 7(93) 1(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94)
GAINESVILLE FL 50 X 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
DAYTONA BEACH 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
DAYTONA BEACH 50 X 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
THE VILLAGES 34 99 1(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
THE VILLAGES 50 X 9( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
THE VILLAGES 64 X 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
ORLANDO FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
ORLANDO FL 50 1 18(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19)
ORLANDO FL 64 X 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
COCOA BEACH FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
COCOA BEACH FL 50 15 12(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) X(27)
COCOA BEACH FL 64 1 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
PATRICK AFB 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
PATRICK AFB 50 14 13(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) X(27)
PATRICK AFB 64 1 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
FT PIERCE FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
FT PIERCE FL 50 54 5(59) X(59) X(59) X(59) X(59) X(59)
FT PIERCE FL 64 10 3(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13)
W PALM BEACH 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
W PALM BEACH 50 16 X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16)
W PALM BEACH 64 2 X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
FT LAUDERDALE 34 49 1(50) X(50) X(50) X(50) X(50) X(50)
MIAMI FL 34 8 2(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
HOMESTEAD ARB 34 5 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
MARATHON FL 34 5 X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
KEY WEST FL 34 4 X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
NAPLES FL 34 12 1(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13)
FT MYERS FL 34 27 1(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) X(28)
VENICE FL 34 27 2(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) X(29)
TAMPA FL 34 46 14(60) X(60) X(60) X(60) X(60) X(60)
TAMPA FL 50 X 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
CEDAR KEY FL 34 36 36(72) 2(74) X(74) X(74) X(74) X(74)
CEDAR KEY FL 50 X 8( 8) 3(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)
CEDAR KEY FL 64 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
TALLAHASSEE FL 34 3 33(36) 15(51) X(51) X(51) X(51) X(51)
TALLAHASSEE FL 50 X X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
ST MARKS FL 34 6 38(44) 13(57) X(57) X(57) X(57) X(57)
ST MARKS FL 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
APALACHICOLA 34 1 11(12) 3(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15)
GFMX 290N 850W 34 2 8(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)
PANAMA CITY FL 34 X 6( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
DESTIN EXEC AP 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
COLUMBUS GA 34 X 3( 3) 6( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
MONTGOMERY AL 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
GRAND BAHAMA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
GRAND BAHAMA 50 41 X(41) X(41) X(41) X(41) X(41) X(41)
GRAND BAHAMA 64 2 X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
NEW PROVIDENCE 34 7 X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
ANDROS 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
$$
FORECASTER BROWN