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FONT12 KNHC 090859
PWSAT2
TROPICAL STORM NICOLE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172022
0900 UTC WED NOV 09 2022
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NICOLE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 26.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 75.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 60 KTS...70 MPH...110 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN STANDARD TIME (EST)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL STANDARD TIME (CST)...SUBTRACT 6 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
06Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
PHILADELPHIA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
ATLANTIC CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
BALTIMORE MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
DOVER DE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
ANNAPOLIS MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
WASHINGTON DC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
CAPE HENLOPEN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
OCEAN CITY MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
PAX RIVER NAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
WALLOPS CDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
CHARLOTTESVIL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
RICHMOND VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
DANVILLE VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
NORFOLK NAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
NORFOLK VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
OCEANA NAS VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
ELIZABETH CTY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
GREENSBORO NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) X(10) X(10)
RALEIGH NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
ROCKY MT NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
FAYETTEVILLE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
CHARLOTTE NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
SURF CITY NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
WILMINGTON NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
FLORENCE SC 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
COLUMBIA SC 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
LITTLE RIVER 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
MYRTLE BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
GEORGETOWN SC 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
CHARLESTON SC 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
BEAUFORT MCAS 34 X 2( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
ATLANTA GA 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
AUGUSTA GA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 9(11) X(11) X(11)
SAVANNAH GA 34 X 4( 4) 4( 8) 1( 9) 2(11) X(11) X(11)
KINGS BAY GA 34 1 16(17) 6(23) 1(24) 1(25) X(25) X(25)
WAYCROSS GA 34 X 10(10) 4(14) 5(19) 3(22) X(22) X(22)
MAYPORT NS FL 34 5 19(24) 5(29) 1(30) X(30) X(30) X(30)
JACKSONVILLE 34 2 19(21) 7(28) 2(30) 1(31) X(31) X(31)
GAINESVILLE FL 34 2 28(30) 25(55) 6(61) X(61) X(61) X(61)
DAYTONA BEACH 34 46 34(80) 2(82) 1(83) X(83) X(83) X(83)
DAYTONA BEACH 50 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
THE VILLAGES 34 11 58(69) 10(79) 1(80) X(80) X(80) X(80)
THE VILLAGES 50 X 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
THE VILLAGES 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
ORLANDO FL 34 42 52(94) 1(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95)
ORLANDO FL 50 X 5( 5) 10(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15)
ORLANDO FL 64 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
COCOA BEACH FL 34 44 37(81) 4(85) X(85) X(85) X(85) X(85)
COCOA BEACH FL 50 X 13(13) 4(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17)
COCOA BEACH FL 64 X 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
PATRICK AFB 34 44 37(81) 4(85) X(85) X(85) X(85) X(85)
PATRICK AFB 50 X 13(13) 4(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17)
PATRICK AFB 64 X 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
FT PIERCE FL 34 50 43(93) 1(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94)
FT PIERCE FL 50 1 41(42) 4(46) X(46) X(46) X(46) X(46)
FT PIERCE FL 64 X 10(10) 2(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12)
W PALM BEACH 34 45 30(75) X(75) X(75) X(75) X(75) X(75)
W PALM BEACH 50 1 34(35) 1(36) X(36) X(36) X(36) X(36)
W PALM BEACH 64 X 8( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
FT LAUDERDALE 34 29 18(47) 1(48) X(48) X(48) X(48) X(48)
FT LAUDERDALE 50 1 8( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
FT LAUDERDALE 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
MIAMI FL 34 14 15(29) 1(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) X(30)
MIAMI FL 50 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
HOMESTEAD ARB 34 6 11(17) 1(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18)
MARATHON FL 34 5 5(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
KEY WEST FL 34 3 4( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
NAPLES FL 34 6 11(17) 2(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19)
FT MYERS FL 34 3 26(29) 2(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) X(31)
FT MYERS FL 50 X 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
VENICE FL 34 5 22(27) 6(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) X(33)
VENICE FL 50 X 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
TAMPA FL 34 6 31(37) 21(58) 1(59) X(59) X(59) X(59)
TAMPA FL 50 X 1( 1) 14(15) 1(16) X(16) X(16) X(16)
TAMPA FL 64 X X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
CEDAR KEY FL 34 1 22(23) 27(50) 7(57) X(57) X(57) X(57)
CEDAR KEY FL 50 X X( X) 6( 6) 3( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
CEDAR KEY FL 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
TALLAHASSEE FL 34 X 6( 6) 13(19) 19(38) 1(39) X(39) X(39)
TALLAHASSEE FL 50 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
ST MARKS FL 34 X 8( 8) 19(27) 17(44) 1(45) X(45) X(45)
ST MARKS FL 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
APALACHICOLA 34 X 4( 4) 8(12) 7(19) X(19) X(19) X(19)
GFMX 290N 850W 34 X 5( 5) 7(12) 3(15) 1(16) X(16) X(16)
PANAMA CITY FL 34 X 1( 1) 5( 6) 4(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
DESTIN EXEC AP 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
COLUMBUS GA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
GRAND BAHAMA 34 77 11(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) X(88)
GRAND BAHAMA 50 21 30(51) X(51) X(51) X(51) X(51) X(51)
GRAND BAHAMA 64 2 13(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15)
NEW PROVIDENCE 34 27 4(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) X(31)
ANDROS 34 9 3(12) 1(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13)
GREAT EXUMA 34 4 3( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
SAN SALVADOR 34 5 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
HAVANA 34 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
$$
FORECASTER BERG