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Tropical Storm Nicole Wind Speed Probabilities


000
FONT12 KNHC 090859
PWSAT2

TROPICAL STORM NICOLE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   9           
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL172022               
0900 UTC WED NOV 09 2022                                            

AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NICOLE WAS LOCATED NEAR       
LATITUDE 26.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 75.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 60 KTS...70 MPH...110 KM/H.                              

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  STANDARD TIME (EST)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  STANDARD TIME (CST)...SUBTRACT 6 HOURS FROM Z TIME      

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        06Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   

PHILADELPHIA   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

ATLANTIC CITY  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

BALTIMORE MD   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

DOVER DE       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

ANNAPOLIS MD   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

WASHINGTON DC  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

CAPE HENLOPEN  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

OCEAN CITY MD  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

PAX RIVER NAS  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

WALLOPS CDA    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

CHARLOTTESVIL  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   9( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)

RICHMOND VA    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)

DANVILLE VA    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   9( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)

NORFOLK NAS    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

NORFOLK VA     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

OCEANA NAS VA  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

ELIZABETH CTY  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

GREENSBORO NC  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  10(10)   X(10)   X(10)

RALEIGH NC     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

ROCKY MT NC    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

FAYETTEVILLE   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

CHARLOTTE NC   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   9( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)

SURF CITY NC   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

WILMINGTON NC  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

FLORENCE SC    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

COLUMBIA SC    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)

LITTLE RIVER   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

MYRTLE BEACH   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

GEORGETOWN SC  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

CHARLESTON SC  34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   3( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

BEAUFORT MCAS  34  X   2( 2)   3( 5)   1( 6)   2( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)

ATLANTA GA     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   5( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

AUGUSTA GA     34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   9(11)   X(11)   X(11)

SAVANNAH GA    34  X   4( 4)   4( 8)   1( 9)   2(11)   X(11)   X(11)

KINGS BAY GA   34  1  16(17)   6(23)   1(24)   1(25)   X(25)   X(25)

WAYCROSS GA    34  X  10(10)   4(14)   5(19)   3(22)   X(22)   X(22)

MAYPORT NS FL  34  5  19(24)   5(29)   1(30)   X(30)   X(30)   X(30)

JACKSONVILLE   34  2  19(21)   7(28)   2(30)   1(31)   X(31)   X(31)

GAINESVILLE FL 34  2  28(30)  25(55)   6(61)   X(61)   X(61)   X(61)

DAYTONA BEACH  34 46  34(80)   2(82)   1(83)   X(83)   X(83)   X(83)
DAYTONA BEACH  50  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

THE VILLAGES   34 11  58(69)  10(79)   1(80)   X(80)   X(80)   X(80)
THE VILLAGES   50  X   1( 1)   5( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
THE VILLAGES   64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)

ORLANDO FL     34 42  52(94)   1(95)   X(95)   X(95)   X(95)   X(95)
ORLANDO FL     50  X   5( 5)  10(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)
ORLANDO FL     64  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

COCOA BEACH FL 34 44  37(81)   4(85)   X(85)   X(85)   X(85)   X(85)
COCOA BEACH FL 50  X  13(13)   4(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)
COCOA BEACH FL 64  X   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

PATRICK AFB    34 44  37(81)   4(85)   X(85)   X(85)   X(85)   X(85)
PATRICK AFB    50  X  13(13)   4(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)
PATRICK AFB    64  X   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

FT PIERCE FL   34 50  43(93)   1(94)   X(94)   X(94)   X(94)   X(94)
FT PIERCE FL   50  1  41(42)   4(46)   X(46)   X(46)   X(46)   X(46)
FT PIERCE FL   64  X  10(10)   2(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)

W PALM BEACH   34 45  30(75)   X(75)   X(75)   X(75)   X(75)   X(75)
W PALM BEACH   50  1  34(35)   1(36)   X(36)   X(36)   X(36)   X(36)
W PALM BEACH   64  X   8( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)

FT LAUDERDALE  34 29  18(47)   1(48)   X(48)   X(48)   X(48)   X(48)
FT LAUDERDALE  50  1   8( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
FT LAUDERDALE  64  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)

MIAMI FL       34 14  15(29)   1(30)   X(30)   X(30)   X(30)   X(30)
MIAMI FL       50  X   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

HOMESTEAD ARB  34  6  11(17)   1(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)

MARATHON FL    34  5   5(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)

KEY WEST FL    34  3   4( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)

NAPLES FL      34  6  11(17)   2(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)

FT MYERS FL    34  3  26(29)   2(31)   X(31)   X(31)   X(31)   X(31)
FT MYERS FL    50  X   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

VENICE FL      34  5  22(27)   6(33)   X(33)   X(33)   X(33)   X(33)
VENICE FL      50  X   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

TAMPA FL       34  6  31(37)  21(58)   1(59)   X(59)   X(59)   X(59)
TAMPA FL       50  X   1( 1)  14(15)   1(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)
TAMPA FL       64  X   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)

CEDAR KEY FL   34  1  22(23)  27(50)   7(57)   X(57)   X(57)   X(57)
CEDAR KEY FL   50  X   X( X)   6( 6)   3( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
CEDAR KEY FL   64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)

TALLAHASSEE FL 34  X   6( 6)  13(19)  19(38)   1(39)   X(39)   X(39)
TALLAHASSEE FL 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

ST MARKS FL    34  X   8( 8)  19(27)  17(44)   1(45)   X(45)   X(45)
ST MARKS FL    50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

APALACHICOLA   34  X   4( 4)   8(12)   7(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)

GFMX 290N 850W 34  X   5( 5)   7(12)   3(15)   1(16)   X(16)   X(16)

PANAMA CITY FL 34  X   1( 1)   5( 6)   4(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)

DESTIN EXEC AP 34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

COLUMBUS GA    34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)   2( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)

GRAND BAHAMA   34 77  11(88)   X(88)   X(88)   X(88)   X(88)   X(88)
GRAND BAHAMA   50 21  30(51)   X(51)   X(51)   X(51)   X(51)   X(51)
GRAND BAHAMA   64  2  13(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)

NEW PROVIDENCE 34 27   4(31)   X(31)   X(31)   X(31)   X(31)   X(31)

ANDROS         34  9   3(12)   1(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)

GREAT EXUMA    34  4   3( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

SAN SALVADOR   34  5   2( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

HAVANA         34  X   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BERG                                                     



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