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Tropical Storm Nicole Forecast Advisory


000
WTNT22 KNHC 102046
TCMAT2

TROPICAL STORM NICOLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL172022
2100 UTC THU NOV 10 2022

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED ALONG THE FLORIDA
EAST COAST SOUTH OF THE FLAGLER/VOLUSIA COUNTY LINE...AND ALONG THE
COASTS OF GEORGIA AND SOUTH CAROLINA NORTH OF ALTAMAHA
SOUND...GEORGIA.

THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE FLORIDA WEST COAST HAS BEEN
DISCONTINUED SOUTH OF ARIPEKA.

THE STORM SURGE WARNING HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED FOR THE FLORIDA EAST
COAST SOUTH OF THE FLAGLER/VOLUSIA COUNTY LINE.

THE STORM SURGE WATCH HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED FROM THE SOUTH SANTEE
RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA TO THE ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA AND FROM THE
OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO INDIAN PASS FLORIDA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE FLAGLER/VOLUSIA COUNTY LINE FLORIDA TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA
* ARIPEKA TO INDIAN PASS FLORIDA

A STORM SURGE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* FLAGLER/VOLUSIA COUNTY LINE FLORIDA TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA
* MOUTH OF THE ST. JOHNS RIVER TO GEORGETOWN FLORIDA
* ANCLOTE RIVER FLORIDA TO OCHLOCKONEE RIVER FLORIDA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.

A STORM SURGE WARNING MEANS THERE IS A DANGER OF LIFE-THREATENING
INUNDATION...FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE...IN
THE INDICATED LOCATIONS. FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK...PLEASE
SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING
GRAPHIC...AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV.  THIS IS A LIFE-THREATENING
SITUATION.
PERSONS LOCATED WITHIN THESE AREAS SHOULD TAKE ALL NECESSARY ACTIONS
TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY FROM RISING WATER AND THE POTENTIAL FOR
OTHER DANGEROUS CONDITIONS.  PROMPTLY FOLLOW EVACUATION AND OTHER
INSTRUCTIONS FROM LOCAL OFFICIALS.

INTERESTS IN THE REMAINDER OF FLORIDA AND ALONG THE SOUTHEASTERN
COAST OF THE UNITED STATES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF NICOLE.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.4N  83.2W AT 10/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT  13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  990 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT.......150NE  60SE 100SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..600NE 150SE 120SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.4N  83.2W AT 10/2100Z...ALONG COAST
AT 10/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.9N  82.8W

FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 31.2N  84.2W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 34.9N  82.6W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.4N  83.2W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPAT2...AT 11/0000Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN




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