Atlantic Basin Tropical Cyclones

Tropical Storm Nicole Forecast Advisory


000
WTNT22 KNHC 100856
TCMAT2

TROPICAL STORM NICOLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL172022
0900 UTC THU NOV 10 2022

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE HURRICANE WARNING FROM BOCA RATON TO THE FLAGLER/VOLUSIA COUNTY
LINE FLORIDA HAS BEEN CHANGED TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING.  THE
TROPICAL STORM WARNING SOUTH OF BOCA RATON TO HALLANDALE BEACH
HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED...AND THE HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN
DISCONTINUED FOR LAKE OKEECHOBEE.

THE STORM SURGE WARNING FROM NORTH PALM BEACH TO JUPITER INLET HAS
BEEN DISCONTINUED.  THE STORM SURGE WATCH SOUTH OF NORTH PALM BEACH
TO HALLANDALE BEACH HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.

ALL WARNINGS HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED FOR THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BOCA RATON FLORIDA TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA
* NORTH OF BONITA BEACH TO INDIAN PASS FLORIDA
* LAKE OKEECHOBEE

A STORM SURGE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* JUPITER INLET FLORIDA TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA
* MOUTH OF THE ST. JOHNS RIVER TO GEORGETOWN FLORIDA
* ANCLOTE RIVER FLORIDA TO OCHLOCKONEE RIVER FLORIDA

A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO INDIAN PASS FLORIDA
* ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.

A STORM SURGE WARNING MEANS THERE IS A DANGER OF LIFE-THREATENING
INUNDATION...FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE...IN
THE INDICATED LOCATIONS. FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK...PLEASE
SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING
GRAPHIC...AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV.  THIS IS A LIFE-THREATENING
SITUATION.  PERSONS LOCATED WITHIN THESE AREAS SHOULD TAKE ALL 
NECESSARY ACTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY FROM RISING WATER AND 
THE POTENTIAL FOR OTHER DANGEROUS CONDITIONS.  PROMPTLY FOLLOW 
EVACUATION AND OTHER INSTRUCTIONS FROM LOCAL OFFICIALS.

A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE-
THREATENING INUNDATION...FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE
COASTLINE...IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK...PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC...AVAILABLE AT
HURRICANES.GOV.

INTERESTS IN THE REMAINDER OF FLORIDA AND ALONG THE SOUTHEASTERN
COAST OF THE UNITED STATES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF NICOLE.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.8N  80.7W AT 10/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT  12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  981 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 60NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT.......390NE  90SE 150SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..600NE 240SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.8N  80.7W AT 10/0900Z
AT 10/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.3N  79.9W

FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 28.9N  82.8W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...300NE  90SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 31.2N  84.1W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...  0NE 120SE  90SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 34.7N  82.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.8N  80.7W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPAT2...AT 10/1200Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG




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