Atlantic Basin Tropical Cyclones

Tropical Storm Lisa Forecast Advisory


000
WTNT25 KNHC 020247
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM LISA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL152022
0300 UTC WED NOV 02 2022

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE
SOUTHEASTERN YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM CHETUMAL TO PUERTO COSTA MAYA...
AND EXTENDED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING NORTHWARD TO PUNTA ALLEN.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BAY ISLANDS...HONDURAS
* THE COAST OF BELIZE
* CHETUMAL TO PUERTO COSTA MAYA...MEXICO

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ENTIRE NORTH COAST OF HONDURAS
* NORTH COAST OF GUATEMALA
* PUERTO COSTA MAYA TO PUNTA ALLEN...MEXICO

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 24 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN CENTRAL AMERICA AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF
MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF LISA.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.8N  84.7W AT 02/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  993 MB
EYE DIAMETER  10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  60SE  20SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  45SE  30SW  75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.8N  84.7W AT 02/0300Z
AT 02/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.7N  84.1W

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 17.1N  86.4W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 10NE   0SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  30SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 17.4N  88.4W...INLAND
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  10SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  40SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 17.4N  90.2W...INLAND
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 10NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 17.5N  91.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 18.2N  93.2W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 19.0N  94.1W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 19.7N  94.5W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 07/0000Z 18.6N  93.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.8N  84.7W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 02/0600Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BUCCI/CANGIALOSI




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