Atlantic Basin Tropical Cyclones

Tropical Storm Lisa Forecast Advisory


000
WTNT25 KNHC 012049
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM LISA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL152022
2100 UTC TUE NOV 01 2022

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BAY ISLANDS
* NORTH OF PUERTO BARRIOS TO SOUTH OF CHETUMAL

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CHETUMAL TO PUERTO COSTA MAYA...MEXICO

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ENTIRE NORTH COAST OF HONDURAS
* NORTH COAST OF GUATEMALA
* CHETUMAL TO PUNTA HERRERO...MEXICO

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN CENTRAL AMERICA AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF
MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF LISA.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.7N  83.3W AT 01/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  60SE  20SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.7N  83.3W AT 01/2100Z
AT 01/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.5N  82.5W

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 17.0N  85.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 10NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  30SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 17.2N  87.2W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  10SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 17.3N  88.9W...INLAND
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  10SE  10SW  15NW.
34 KT... 50NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 17.3N  90.4W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 17.6N  91.9W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 18.4N  93.4W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 19.8N  94.2W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 19.0N  93.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.7N  83.3W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 02/0000Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE




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