Atlantic Basin Tropical Cyclones

Tropical Storm Karl Forecast Advisory


000
WTNT24 KNHC 141445
TCMAT4

TROPICAL STORM KARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL142022
1500 UTC FRI OCT 14 2022

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING 
WEST OF COATZACOALCOS TO ALVARADO.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* COATZACOALCOS TO SABANCUY

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN
12 TO 24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.4N  92.7W AT 14/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OR 160 DEGREES AT   6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 30NE  50SE  50SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS..  0NE   0SE  30SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.4N  92.7W AT 14/1500Z
AT 14/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.7N  92.6W

FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 18.8N  92.8W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...  0NE  40SE  40SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 18.1N  93.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.4N  92.7W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 14/1800Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER REINHART




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