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Tropical Storm Karl Forecast Advisory


000
WTNT24 KNHC 140845
TCMAT4

TROPICAL STORM KARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL142022
0900 UTC FRI OCT 14 2022

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ALVARADO TO SABANCUY

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN
24 TO 36 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.2N  92.4W AT 14/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST OR 140 DEGREES AT   5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......  0NE  50SE  50SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.2N  92.4W AT 14/0900Z
AT 14/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.4N  92.6W

FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 19.5N  92.4W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...  0NE  50SE  40SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 18.6N  92.8W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...  0NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 17.7N  93.4W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.2N  92.4W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 14/1200Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN




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